What we're seeing | October 2026

What We're SeeingAcross Lenders and Insurers.

What wins and loses deals right now, and what your team can change this week.

Jump to Your Industry
Dan Comyns, CEOQuote to Bind

Lenders, Insurers and Brokers Working with Sellence

  • Nations Lending
  • Leveraged
  • Libra Insurance
  • VOOM Insurance

The shift

Your Next Customer May Send an Agent. The Better Model Wins.

Personal AI agents now in market

  • Muse logoMuseMeta
  • Instinct
  • Sep 2026

    Meta launched Muse, a personal agent inside WhatsApp that can negotiate on its user's behalf.

  • $10B

    Instinct's valuation after a $1B raise in Sep 2026. 35% of its users already use it to shop.

  • 53%

    Of businesses would let AI agents negotiate prices or terms with other AI agents. (Visa, 2026)

  • 186

    Deals that AI agents negotiated with each other in Anthropic's Project Deal. The agents running the stronger model got better outcomes, and the other side never noticed.

"The model an agent ran on made more of a difference to its negotiating outcomes than the instructions we gave it."
Anthropic, Project Swap, Sep 2026

What it means

When a buyer's agent compares 10 lenders or insurers, it judges each one by how it answers. The side with the stronger persuasion model wins the deal, and a better script can't make up for a weaker model. That's the job the persuasion model does.

Already happening in our world: Kin, a US home insurer, opened its quote flow to Muse in Sep 2026. Muse got a home-insurance quote after a handful of questions.

  • Lender A

    1 min, auto-reply

  • Lender B

    9 min, rate only

  • Lender C

    38 min, rate sheet

  • Lender D

    2 h, "call us"

  • Lender E

    Next day, email

The Buyer's AI Agent

0 compared

  • Lender F Chosen

    2 min, full answer

  • Lender G

    5 h, form again

  • Lender H

    Next day, wrong loan

  • Lender I

    2 days, voicemail

  • Lender J

    No reply

Illustration.

Reply Speed

The First Hour Decides Most Deals.

Published studies, same story every time.

  • 7x

    A lead you answer within the hour is 7x more likely to turn into a real conversation than one you answer an hour later.

  • 23%

    Of companies never answered a web lead at all.

How Much More Likely a Lead Turns into a Real Conversation
  1. 4xAnswer in 5 minutes instead of 10
  2. 7xAnswer within the hour instead of an hour later
  3. 21xAnswer in 5 minutes instead of 30
  4. 60xAnswer within the hour instead of the next day

From the conversations we run

What We See Every Day.

  • 56%

    Of insurance shoppers who reply bring up price first.

    So: have a real number ready in your first or second message.

  • 17%

    Of insurance shoppers only reply on the 4th follow-up or later.

    So: most teams stop at 3 and hand those deals to a competitor. Go to 5 or 6.

  • 1.8x

    More mortgages close when the first text goes out within 5 minutes instead of the next day.

    So: no overnight batches. Reach new leads right away.

  • 82%

    Of mortgage borrowers reply during weekday working hours, even when the lead came in at night.

    So: make sure someone is there to answer 9 to 6.

How Many People Answer Again After a Follow-Up Message
  1. 68%Insurance
  2. 33%Trading
  3. 25%Mortgage

Many 'dead' leads reply once someone asks again.

By Industry

What We're Seeing in Your Industry.

Pick your industry. What we're seeing, and what it means for you.

Out of 100 People Who Applied for a Home Loan in 2025, 22 Walked Away on Their Own.
  • 67got the loan
  • 11were turned down
  • 15withdrew
  • 4never finished the paperwork
  • 3were approved and didn't take it

Those 22 were already interested, already applied, and already cost you money to get. Ask them why they left.

78%

Of borrowers only talk to 1 or 2 lenders before choosing.

What it meansThe deal is decided before most lenders reply. Speed decides who gets into the comparison at all, then the better answer decides who wins it.

22 of 100

Home loan applicants walk away on their own.

What it meansIn the conversations we run, 1 in 4 mortgage leads that go quiet answer again after a follow-up. A big part of "lost" files is follow-up that stopped too early.

#1

Rate is the first thing borrowers ask about.

What it meansRate is the only thing a borrower (or their agent) can compare line by line. Lenders who answer with the full picture, payment and cash to close, stop being 1 line in a spreadsheet.

82%

Of borrowers reply during weekday working hours.

What it meansLeads arrive at night, decisions happen in the day. The win is being ready the moment they reply.

56%

Of people who start an auto-loan pre-qualification never finish it.

What it meansThe credit step is where intent meets fear. The lender who explains the step in the moment keeps the applicant. The one who sends a reminder email loses them.

1 in 6

Personal loan borrowers don't compare offers at all. They take the first clear one.

What it meansFor a big group of borrowers, the first clear offer is the only offer. Being first and being clear is the whole game.

93%

Of deals that close were reached by the 6th call.

What it meansMost teams quit at 2 or 3. The deals between attempt 3 and 6 go to whoever is still there.

23%

Of companies never reply to a web lead.

What it meansA quarter of your competitors take themselves out of the race. That share only grows when agents do the asking.

Almost Half of Car Insurance Shoppers Own a Home Policy. Only 1 in 5 Get a Home Quote.
  1. 45%have a home policy
  2. 20%got a home quote

That's a second policy nobody is asking about.

45% vs 20%

Of car insurance shoppers have a home policy, but only 20% get a home quote.

What it meansA 25-point gap (our math) between shoppers who hold a home policy and shoppers who get a home quote. That's second-policy revenue nobody is asking for.

3.5quotes

Quotes per car insurance shopper, and 77% only look at 1 or 2 insurers.

What it meansShoppers think they compare widely. In practice the first 2 insurers to respond take the decision.

56%

Of shoppers who reply bring up price first.

What it meansPrice is the opening move. Teams that lead with a discount train buyers to ask for more. Teams that reshape the cover keep the margin.

17%

Only reply on the 4th follow-up or later.

What it meansA 3-touch rule hands almost 1 in 5 replies to a competitor.

1 in 5

Shoppers who reply ask for a call.

What it meansThey're close. Turning that request into a booked time in the same thread is where many binds are won or lost.

81%

Of people who register at a big trading app never deposit.

What it meansThe real battle is the first deposit. The hour after signup is when intent is highest.

1 in 4

People would give up opening an account if the ID check is slow.

What it meansKYC is a sales moment. Explaining why a document is needed keeps the trader.

2x

More people reply when the first message lands within 5 minutes of signup instead of the next day.

What it meansA new trader is comparing apps right now. The first useful message frames every one after it.

30%

Of CFD traders name spreads as a reason they chose their broker.

What it meansTraders compare one number because it's the only one they can see. Showing the full cost changes the comparison.

93%

Of deals that close were reached by the 6th call.

What it meansUnfunded signups are often still undecided after 2 calls.

Calculator

What Slow Replies Cost You Each Month.

Enter your numbers. We assume leads reached within 5 minutes close about 1.8x as often as leads reached late, which is what we see in our mortgage data.

%
%

Estimate

Revenue you're likely losing to slow replies

$0/ month

$0 a year. 0 deals a month.

Closed $0Lost

If fast leads close 1.3x / 1.8x / 2x as often

  • 1.3x$0
  • 1.8x$0
  • 2x$0

An estimate to size the problem.

Your Own Benchmark

Set Your Own Target in 2 Weeks.

There's no public benchmark for how many quotes or applications should close. Your best salesperson is the best benchmark you have.

ExampleSame kind of leads, 2 weeks
24 of 100Best salesperson
12 of 100Target 24Typical salesperson
Your best salesperson closes 24 of 100. A typical one closes 12. That 12-deal gap is a target you already know is possible.

The Results

Results from Teams Running the Persuasion Model.

Trained on 3.5M+ real sales conversations.

  • Nations LendingLive

    Borrower Funnel

  • Leveraged+38%

    Funded Accounts

    7-month A/B test.

  • Libra Insurance3x

    Sales per Agent

    Controlled A/B test. 90 days.

  • VOOM Insurance+50%

    On Abandoned Quotes

    Reported uplift.

The Next Step

Want This Run on Your Own Funnel?

20 minutes. Your numbers, 1 leak to fix first.

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